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Hot 20 over the past 10 – Forget Top Tens, as it is now Top Fives that will win the crown

Photo Credit: David Yeazell

Average 350 points, you are driving like a champion. Average 300 points, and you look like a contender. Too bad three of our Chasers are presently driving like mere pretenders, but enough about Kurt Busch, Dale Earnhardt Jr, and Denny Hamlin. Over the past ten events, we have five who have that championship look about them, and it should come as no surprise that they represent five of the top six in the official standings as we head on to Talladega for Sunday.

[media-credit name=”David Yeazell” align=”alignright” width=”225″][/media-credit]Tony Stewart is the one missing. While the results from Watkins Glen and Bristol, where he finished outside the Top 25, did not help, neither did that finish at Dover. What the two-time champion needs is a string of Top Fives, starting this weekend. Then again, you might say that for everybody interested in claiming the crown and still with a chance to grab it.

That is especially true for our leader. Brad Keselowski might have more than a 20 point bulge over the course of recent events, but he now has to match what he did in Watkins Glen (2nd), Michigan (3rd), Bristol (1st), Atlanta (6th), and Richmond (12th) to maintain that pace. It is a tall order, but one worthy of a champion.

Here are our hot 20 over the past 10 events…

Pos-Driver-Pts/10 races-(W-T5-T10)

1. Brad Keselowski – 380 pts – (1-6-7)
Can win at Talladega, and make cars fly.

2. Carl Edwards – 358 pts – (0-6-8)
Thanks to Brad, he has yet to win there, but has managed to be anywhere from 5th to 42nd.

3. Kyle Busch – 354 pts – (1-3-5)
If he is to be the next Jimmie Johnson he is going to have to start working on that beard.

4. Kevin Harvick – 353 pts – (1-2-7)
Can be very hot in Alabama…or very cold. Will current three race hot streak there continue?

5. Matt Kenseth – 352 pts – (1-3-7)
Six Top Tens at Talladega, 9 times outside Top Twenty in 23 attempts.

6. Jimmie Johnson – 341 pts – (1-5-7)
Will be in good shape if he goes great on Sunday, and a few certain others do not.

7. Jeff Gordon – 332 pts – (1-4-5)
Will the new Jeff Gordon Expressway be a 190 mph loop?

8. Tony Stewart – 325 pts – (2-3-6)
Already has two Chase wins, but might need a couple more.

9. Ryan Newman – 303 pts – (0-1-5)
Best year was 2003, but 8 win, 17 Top Five season still only meant 6th in the standings.

10. A.J. Allmendinger – 303 pts – (0-0-4)
The Petty brand has some meaning again.

11. Kurt Busch – 295 pts – (1-3-4)
Addington is subtracting himself.

12. Marcos Ambrose – 292 pts – (1-2-5)
Looking to finally be in the right spot at the right time on the weekend.

13. Kasey Kahne – 290 pts – (0-3-4)
Could have been racing at Las Vegas last week, but Mr. Childress said no.

14. Dale Earnhardt Jr – 283 pts – (0-1-1)
Is there hope? Sure, but what are the odds an early 11 car wreck will involve 11 specific drivers?

15. Juan Pablo Montoya – 280 pts – (0-0-2)
In 1999 won seven, but that was to capture the CART crown

16. Jeff Burton – 280 pts – (0-0-1)
18 full-time seasons in, and still among those who matter.

17. David Ragan – 273 pts – (0-1-2)
With time running out, getting hot here would sure help to remain in Cup seat for 2012.

18. Brian Vickers – 272 pts – (0-1-1)
Won Nationwide (Busch) title back in 2003. Must he go back?

19. Clint Bowyer – 268 pts – (0-0-4)
From RCR to MWR…60 miles into the unknown.

20. Greg Biffle – 259 pts – (0-1-2)
If not for cut tires, messed up air hose connections, and lug nuts, he might be having a hell of a season.

23. Denny Hamlin – 243 pts – (0-0-4)
The good news? Well, the pressure is sure off.

Non-Chasers Excel in Bank Of America 500

Kasey Kahne

For the third week in a row, Kasey Kahne has finished in the top-5 among the Chase contenders.  At the beginning of the race, Kahne did not have a great race car.  He complained of “rear-end up and front-end down” handling issues.  After green flag pit stops with 139 laps to go, the No. 4 crew made adjustments to correct the issues.  “Oh yea, it’s going now” Kahne replied to the crew after exiting pit road.  After pit stops, Kahne was in ninth position and was the fastest car on the track.  On the fifth caution of the night, Kahne’s Red Bull crew was able to get him out of the pits in third position, securing him a finish of fourth position.  Kahne won the Mobil 1 Command Performance Driver of the Race award for the Bank of America 500.  Given to the winner of the race, or the next highest finishing driver with the Mobil 1 decal on their race car.  Kasey moved up one spot in standings to 15th position.

Marcos Ambrose

Richard Petty Motorsports driver Marcos Ambrose was destined to do well at Charlotte Motor Speedway, having ten top-10 career finishes at intermediate tracks coming into this race.  Ambrose celebrated his fifth top-5 of the season at Charlotte Motor Speedway Saturday night.  Ambrose qualified his Stanley Tools Ford in 12th position and was a front runner throughout the race.  Although there were a few late-race cautions, Ambrose was able to hold his position and stay at the head of the field.  Marcos finished the race in fifth position, his third straight top-10 of the season.  The crew chief of the No. 9 car, Todd Parrott, received the Moog Problem Solver of the Race award.  Given to the crew chief that improves the most from the first half of the race to the second half, utilizing the 40 best laps times(improving 0.155 seconds).  Marcos moved two spots up in the points standings, to 18th position


AJ Allmendinger

Although AJ Allmendinger battled handling issues during the race, he was able to keep his Best Buy Ford in the top-10 throughout the night.  On Lap 127 Allmendinger pitted to try and correct these handling issues, but couldn’t quite seem to get it fixed.  AJ remained in the top-10 until just after Lap 200, when he fell to 12th position.  The team remained patient, pitting again under Lap 238 to make more adjustments.  With 100 laps to go, Allmendinger’s No. 43 car came to life, allowing him to finish the race in seventh position.  This marks AJ’s eighth top-10 of the season.  Leaving Charlotte, he rests in 14th position in points standings.

IndyCar Needs a Change in Safety, Sooner Than Later

“It’s incredible that no more than just one driver was hurt,” Mario Andretti said Monday on CNN. “Dan’s situation was a very freakish thing where his car flew right up into the catch fencing. The track is very well equipped, it is one of a few tracks to have SAFER walls all the way around, but he just missed the top of it. It was so unfortunate.”

The IZOD IndyCar Series veteran added that there needs to be nothing done. This coming after an accident that happened at Las Vegas Motor Speedway sending three cars airborne, taking out another 12 cars and killing Dan Wheldon.

However, even before the race started, there was concerns from the drivers about the type of racing that was about to take place.

Will Power, who was one of the cars that went airborne, told his father Bob before the race that somebody was going to get killed out there, as according to Australia’s Daily Telegraph.

“All it takes is one mistake by one driver and it could be huge consequences,” Ryan Hunter-Reay had said before the race. “This should be a nail-biter for the fans, and it’s going to be insane for the drivers.

“To be in the middle of the field might not be the best situation early on,” Paul Tracy had added. “There is the potential for a big wreck, so we hope to stay out of that.”

IndyCar’s website had it predicted it would be a wild race with James Hinchcliffe saying in a video that, “The hot spot is every inch of the 1.5 miles. It’s such a grippy track. A place like Kentucky there are bumps and the cars move around a little bit. Here, they aren’t doing that and we are race car drivers and will take every inch that we are given and you have just eliminated the entire margin. The racing is so close and when something goes around it can really go wrong.”

As predicted, the race was crazy early on and as a result, the unthinkable happened. Two wheels touched between cars, which sent Hinchcliffe flying. Drivers behind tried to react and avoid harm but couldn’t, making contact, sending Wheldon and Power both flying from the bottom of the track to the outside wall. Wheldon’s car missed the outside retaining wall, as the top of the cockpit with the driver is exposed hit the catchfence. As a result, Wheldon was pronounced dead two hours later due to head injuries.

The drivers knew right away that it was ugly and what had been hinted of before the race just driving through the debris.

“It was just a chain reaction, and everybody slowed down, got bunched up again and there were more crashes that started behind it,” Scott Dixon told Sports Illustrated. “It’s unfortunate because everybody knew it was going to happen. You could see it from Lap 2 people were driving nuts. It doesn’t even matter the speeds – you can’t touch with these cars.”

“It was like a movie scene which they try to make as gnarly as possible,” Danica Patrick, who was running her last IndyCar race before moving to NASCAR, said. “It was debris everywhere across the whole track. You could smell the smoke. You could see the billowing smoke on the back straight from the car. There was a chunk of fire that we were driving around. You could see cars scattered.”

This wasn’t a surprise at all to anybody as the warnings were there before the race even started. Many drivers had warned series officials, including this year’s champion Dario Franchitti.

“You know I love hard racing, but that to me is not really what it’s about,” he said after the accident. “I said before we even tested here that this was not a suitable track for us, and we’ve seen it today. You can’t get away from anybody. There’s no way to differentiate yourself as a car or a driver. People get frustrated and go four-wide and you saw what happened.”

For NASCAR, the track is fine as if they rub fenders, it’s just known as minor contact and everybody can continue. Though for IndyCar, there are no fenders there so they rub wheels. The rubbing of wheels creates a dangerous situation as the touch sends another car wrecking, and probably after taking flight.

As Tracy noted on CNN, “The IndyCars now, they spec the cars to where they want cars to run a bit more in the pack like NASCAR, and these cars are not designed to run and bang wheels with each other at 220mph. Our wheels are exposed, NASCAR are closed body cars like street cars, so once you have two cars touch each other, you don’t have any control of what can happen.”

The current aerodynamics brings forth the pack racing and with speeds exceeding 220 mph, drivers don’t have the time to react. If they do react, due to being in a freight train format, the person behind them may not. As many have repeated, the increased field size of Las Vegas from a normal field under 20 cars to 34 cars increased the risk.

If IndyCar wants to keep with the current aerodynamics, the oval pack racing that is seen needs to go. However, this doesn’t mean to remove all oval tracks, like Iowa and Indy, should not be removed as they’re not as fast and you see drivers have the ability to get spread out.

The dismissal of oval tracks is just a start, though. Wheldon’s death was more due to the open cockpit contact with the catch fence.

One suggestion is closed cockpits as Ryan Briscoe tweeted, “I’d like to see future IndyCar/Open Wheelers with closed cockpits one day, like modern Le Mans LMP1 cars have today.” The only problem would be debris and dirt making it hard to see, however a simple solution of tear-offs could solve that.

The other solution is maybe to look at changing the catch fence design.

“Even with the new technologies that have come about in the last 10 years, nothing has changed when it comes to the catch fencing,”Tracy explained to Sirius Speedway. “We saw it with Carl Edwards at Talladega, and we saw it again Sunday with Dan. When cars get into the fencing, it acts like a spider web. It grabs them and tears them to pieces.”

Whether you take suggestions given or others come about, change is needed. Dan Wheldon dying along with Will Power suffering back pain, J.R. Hildebrand suffering from a severely-bruised sternum and Pippa Mann with a severely burned finger is too much. A repeat of what happened would be horrendous as images and descriptions of Sunday already go too far.

“It was like driving through a war zone,” Briscoe said after the wreck. “We all predicted something like this would happen.”

That prediction factor is what haunts IndyCar racing now because as more people learn the details, they seem to find themselves blaming IndyCar’s head brass. For them instead of IndyCar CEO Randy Bernard taking care of a problem, they see an image of him liking the style of racing.

“I was watching practice and it was unbelievable,” Bernard told Sports Illustrated after practice. “Three wide at more than 220mph.”

Once again, practice on Thursday showed more warnings, yet nothing done. That’s how the situation is read. That’s why you may see big names leave IndyCar.

“I’ve warned him to give up for awhile,” F1 Champion Jody Shecter said of son Tomas. “Hopefully this will knock some sense into him and realize there is more to life. It really isn’t worth it.”

Tracy says he’s reconsidering after seeing Wheldon die before his eyes and after hearing concerns from his family.

Power, who broke his back at Infinion Raceway, a road course, in 2009 “has taken time off to collect his thoughts and reconsider his future” as per Australia’s Daily Telegraph. His father, Bob, said he’d be okay with a change.

“It wouldn’t worry me if he walked away and tried something else,” Bob Power said. “I would like him to have a go at Formula 1 or something like that, because it is a hell of a lot safer than running around ovals in IndyCar. I would much rather him run on road circuits because ovals are a worry.”

The concern was there from the start and are still there. Easily people are going to blame the head brass as stated, but there’s of course another side to the coin.

In 2000, the drivers chose to boycott the race at Texas Motor Speedway due to concerns after feeling dizziness in practice.

Many could question why they didn’t choose to boycott this race. Was it due to fears of what might have been said if they did? If so, does that overcome the fear of risk and safety? Easily nope, so many should also look to the drivers as to why they still ran the race.

Looking back at Las Vegas no matter the opinion of what happened and how, only hope of change for the future can help us in looking back at what happened.

“This is a huge tragedy for IndyCar but I hope that out of the tragedy comes some good in terms of improving more in safety,” Tracy said. “Like when Greg Moore died and Dale Earnhardt Sr., and now Dan Wheldon. The innovations that came out from that in terms of improving driver safety need to be kicked up a notch. We hope that is what will happen.”