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Straight from The Glen; Rain and Tony Stewart

Well it wouldn’t be a weekend at Watkins Glen International without Mother Nature interfering with the racing itinerary.  The weather has been slightly less than optimal since Thursday evening, so with no practice sessions to talk about as of yet, the talk around the track has been centered around the biggest news of the week, the guy sitting 11th in the NASCAR Sprint Cup Series points standings.

There has been a revolving door on the Media Center today because of the rain in the area with Drivers, Competition Directors, Track Presidents, and even the Governor of New York, Andrew Cuomo all dodging raindrops to speak to members of the media today. The topic most discussed: Tony Stewart missing his first race after 521 consecutive NASCAR Sprint Cup Series starts. There is one common theme across the board with anyone talking about Smoke, there is a ton of support for Tony not only for  a quick recovery but for his decision to race outside the NASCAR Sprint Cup Series.

Greg Zipadelli, Competition Director for Stewart-Haas racing was in the Media Center earlier today to talk about Stewart’s condition and the team’s decision to go with Max Papis as driver of the No. 14 Chevrolet SS.

Zippy on Smoke’s current condition:  “I saw him Wednesday night before his surgery.  I talked to him, texted, yesterday after everything went well.  As good as could be expected.  It’s going to be a day by day situation right now just with infections and things of that nature.  Hopefully, it will turn into a week by week here probably Sunday or Monday we will know a lot more.  Right now it’s a week by week deal.  We will see what doctors have to say at the beginning of the week and we will go from there.”

An interesting question has been mentioned all week around folks close to the sport – what does Tony Stewart think about his current situation? Greg Zipadelli helped to answer that question earlier today:

“(Tony) felt like he has let a lot of people down, the world, his fans, so I know all the support that he has gotten from the fans and the racers here I know has helped him a lot.  We talked about that and it’s cool the outreach that this area has given him.”

Smoke will be happy to know he’s got a group of supporters in his fellow NASCAR Sprint Cup Series drivers. Dale Earnhardt Jr. supported Tony’s decision to race his sprint car as much as he does (somewhere between 90 and 100 races each year):

” If I enjoyed road racing as much as Tony (Stewart) enjoys dirt cars then you wouldn’t give it up and I wouldn’t have.  I would have gone back and done it more. “

Junior went on to talk about the affect Stewart’s absence from the driver’s seat will have in the coming weeks leading up to the 2013 Chase for the Sprint Cup:

“He’s a lot of fun to race with so you’ll miss that competition as much as everybody wants their job to be easier, you’ll miss the competition that Tony (Stewart) brings to the table every week and I think the fans will miss that as well.  There’s a lot of guys in the series that are just real fun to race against.  Especially when the cars are so equal and you can get out there and really get after it, he’s a lot of fun.”

Five-Time NASCAR Sprint Cup Series Champion, Jimmie Johnson was also asked about the high likelihood of Tony Stewart not racing for a championship this year.

“Yeah, it’s a big loss for our sport and certainly I know that Tony is feeling bad about being injured and the affect that it has on his Cup team. It’s crazy to think that he won’t be a player in the Chase. It’s not something that I would have ever thought, as the year got started.”

As we all know, Tony Stewart is one of the most high-profile guys in the garage area on a weekly basis, and many in the NASCAR community look up to Smoke not only as a driver, but as a team owner, and a track owner. He is one of the most respected figures in the community, and to see him take heat from folks does not settle well when the cards do not fall in his direction.

In probably the most candid comment of the day here at Watkins Glen, Jimmie Johnson went on to express his disappointment in those giving Tony Stewart a hard time about doing what he loves.

” I look at the coverage and opinions that are flying around and its troubled me some to see people giving him (Stewart) a hard time about his decisions to race other vehicles. We always praise him for his contributions to the motorsports world and his ability to drive and race anything and to own all these different types of vehicles. And then you look at the race tracks that he owns and his involvement with. The guy has done so much for our sport and of course we don’t want to see him injured, but I’ve been disappointed that people have given him a hard time over it.”

The debate will role on as to whether drivers should choose to partake in dangerous activities outside of their Cup cars, and will only become more prevalent if Tony Stewart is, in fact, eliminated from championship contention.

A tentative revised practice schedule has been passed down from NASCAR, with NASCAR Sprint Cup Series practices slated for 3:00PM and 5:35PM this afternoon.

Stay tuned all weekend for updates from Watkins Glen International and be sure to listen in as Greg, Ed Coombs and I preview the Cheez-It 355 at The Glen on Saturday at 8:00PM. Listen live at www.PrimeSportsNetwork.com and follow me on Twitter at @ML_B_Lo for updates all weekend.

Chasing the Chase: Predicting the field with five races to go

Photo Credit: David Yeazell

Just a few weeks ago what had been the original version of this column came to fruition.

There weren’t that many surprises, no bold assessments of which drivers would make up the 2013 Chase for the Sprint Cup field. But as it goes in the racing world, things can change in an instant. With five races remaining before the Chase begins in Chicago, the picture has dramatically changed. Again.

Five races into the season the first unimaginable happened: Denny Hamlin was sidelined with a broken back and subsequent rehabilitation, taking his chance at the Chase away. Now, another imaginable is upon us: Tony Stewart will be joining Hamlin on the sideline.

Stewart suffered a broken right leg late Monday night when he crashed in a sprint car during a race in Iowa. Coming out of the Pocono race on Sunday afternoon, Stewart sat 11th in points and held one of the Wild Card positions. Now, the door is wide open for anyone from 13th on back.

Martin Truex Jr. and Ryan Newman, currently, are the two who would grab those spots. Except, there’s a long way to go before anything is secure. Will they be among those who get in the Chase or join Hamlin and Stewart in having to wait until next year?

All but Locked In

With little change among them, besides swapping positions every other weekend, the drivers first through eighth are practically sitting pretty. Point leader Jimmie Johnson could lock himself into the Chase as early as this weekend if the scenarios work to his advantage.

Johnson has already been made the favorite for the Chase and a potential sixth championship. He’s led the points majority of the season, has four wins and has proven that he hasn’t lost his touch at dominating races. It’s a matter of whether the mistakes that have cost him a few more wins this season will pop up when the championship is on the line?

Behind Johnson come many drivers with wins this season, playing toward their advantage as the Chase nears. Carl Edwards, Kevin Harvick, Kyle Busch will get to compete for their first championship, as will Kasey Kahne, who scored his second win this past weekend at Pocono, which just about puts him in the Chase.

The man who many blame for the inception of the Chase, 2003 champion Matt Kenseth, would be tied in seeding with Johnson. While Kenseth and his team may have been cooled the last few weeks with bad luck and mediocre finishes, a large portion of the Chase is made up of mile-and-a-half tracks, which Kenseth won all four races on. It could become a showdown of Johnson and Kenseth.

The good news for Clint Bowyer and Dale Earnhardt Jr., their early season consistency has put them in a safe point position. Neither have wins but they’ve been solid enough to build a cushion on those behind them. They’ll be among the fan favorites for the 2013 crown when the Chase begins.

Pressure to Perform

Jeff Gordon was oh so close to putting his name in a Chase spot at Pocono. A debris caution when he was over seven second behind teammate Kahne put Gordon in position to steal a win. He finished second and remains winless this year but moved to ninth in points.

The Chase doesn’t start today, however, and while Gordon’s safe right now the 24 team has been hot and cold throughout the season. Now that the pressure is on, can they remain hot? Gordon nearly missed the Chase last year, squeaking in at Richmond and now he’ll have to fight all the way to the finish again.

Behind Gordon, Greg Biffle is fighting as well. While Biffle, unlike Gordon, has a win in his back pocket, the team has been sliding through the standings. That win might be what gets them in the Chase if he needs to use it for a WC position.

That’s only if those from 13th on back don’t win over the next five weeks. Easier said than done because those drivers are hungrier than ever.

Those on the outside looking up at Biffle with eagerness would be the defending Sprint Cup champion, Brad Keselowski, and 2004 champion Kurt Busch. Both would bring character and heart to the Chase, but they’re going to have to fight for it. After winning five races in 2012 and shocking the NASCAR world by beating Johnson for the title, Keselowski has been very un-champion like this season.

Winless, once at odds with NASCAR and often struggling to find consistent finishes, Keselowski is not in form to defend or even win another title. But, with Stewart now about to slide out of the Chase, that could be the break – no pun intended – Keselowski needs to make sure he doesn’t become the second defending champion in the Chase era to miss the playoffs the following year. Ironically, the last was Stewart in 2006.

So, Who’s In and Who Gets Left Out

The current top eight in points: Johnson, Bowyer, Edwards, Harvick, Earnhardt Jr., Kyle Busch, Kenseth, and Kahne will be apart of the 2013 Chase. As will Biffle and Kurt Busch, who will use the next fives weeks and some of his best tracks to propel himself into top 10 in points. Don’t be surprised if he wins while doing so, too.

As for the Wild Cards, Martin Truex Jr. is doing everything he can to make the Chase and held a WC spot up until last weekend in Pocono. The win from Sonoma is going to be his saving grace, even if someone else outside the top 10 wins a race. Truex and his Michael Waltrip Racing team are consistent enough to stay where they need to in order to take a WC spot.

That leaves one spot left and it’ll go Stewart-Haas Racing’s only hope, Ryan Newman. Only Truex and Newman have a win among the drivers sitting outside the top 10 in points. With Stewart down and out, Newman has to carry the torch and luckily, his No. 39 team found Victory Lane when they needed to and their competition hasn’t.

On the opposite side are those who will have to wait until next year. Gordon and Keselowski will be the big names who miss this year’s Chase, both teams are just too hot and cold. Jamie McMurray and Joey Logano, solid at times but not consistent, would need to win more than once in order to get past Truex, Newman and even Biffle.

Aric Almirola, Paul Menard and Jeff Burton are the long shots. They’re in the top 20, meaning they have a chance, but when you can’t win a race, you can’t make the Chase.

The 2013 Chase Field

Jimmie Johnson

Clint Bowyer

Carl Edwards

Kevin Harvick

Dale Earnhardt Jr.

Kyle Busch

Matt Kenseth

Kasey Kahne

Greg Biffle

Kurt Busch

Martin Truex Jr.

Ryan Newman