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Johnson’s 5th Championship Was Inevitable

Jimmie Johnson won his fifth straight championship on Sunday. Just like I wrote last week, his main competition, Denny Hamlin, and Kevin Harvick, made mistakes and had back luck back in the pack. In the meantime, Johnson stayed up front and out of trouble. Qualifying was the key.

[media-credit name=”CIA Stock Photo” align=”alignleft” width=”300″][/media-credit]On Friday, Hamlin, at that time leading by 15 points going into the race, tried teammate Kyle Busch’s qualifying setup. The result was a 37th place starting position. Harvick started 28th, but unlike Hamlin, was able to work his way to the front, but that happened late in the race and wasn’t enough to overtake Johnson and Hamlin.

The question that now will be asked over and over is will anyone else be able to take the championship again. Although Hamlin and Harvick made it close, there was never any doubt in this writer’s mind that Johnson would come out on top from the first race of the season. Rick Hendrick has assembled a crew that has become a dynasty. It’s helped that the tracks chosen for the final ten-race chase are well suited for Johnson’s driving style, but one cannot deny that Johnson has been good almost everywhere. Those with a “glass half full” disposition continue to cry that the other teams just have to get better and beat him is a solution that is not holding water. All the resources of Ford Motor Company, Toyota Motorsports, Chrysler, and other Chevrolet teams had not been enough. Some of the greatest minds in this sport have tried and failed. The No. 48 team will have to make a mistake for anyone else to have a chance, and that’s something that is not likely.

In the seven years that NASCAR has used this Chase format, Johnson has won five times (only Kurt Busch with Roush-Fenway Racing and Tony Stewart with Joe Gibbs Racing have won the championship, and that was in the first two years). Many point to the introduction of the Car of Tomorrow as a leading factor. The much maligned spec car was introduced in 2007 and used full time in 2008. Johnson has won every championship since its introduction. Compounding that was a ban on testing instituted by NASCAR in 2009 which saw the performance of some teams suffer. Johnson’s team and the rest of the Hendrick Motorsports organization never missed a beat during that time, leaving the rest of the field behind. It wasn’t until this season that Roush-Fenway and Richard Childress Racing became competitive again. Could that have been a reason the championship was so close?

Regardless, the accomplishments of the Hendrick Motorsports racing team and Jimmie Johnson cannot be ignored. Congratulations to all involved. But for the good of the sport, let’s hope it’s someone else next year, but if not, you have to admire what has been done by that organization. To the victor go the spoils and that’s only fair.

Busch wins the Ford 300 as Keselowski and Joe Gibbs Racing are crowned champs

Kyle Busch and Kevin Harvick fought back and forth all day for the lead. However, after Busch took the lead with 22 to go, he never looked back as he got his second win of the weekend.

[media-credit name=”CIA Stock Photo” align=”alignleft” width=”300″][/media-credit]The win marked his record-setting 13th Nationwide win of the season and 43rd of his career.

The win also gave Joe Gibbs Racing their third owner’s championship in a row.

“I don’t know,” Busch said about putting it in perspective. “You don’t right now. You just keep doing it and enjoying it.”

Harvick came home second.

“I didn’t want to see it,” Harvick said of the final restart. “Once you get the lead, it’s fun to get that clean air. We were already getting tight and once we got to that point, we just got real too tight.”

Keselowski finished third after already clinching the champion two weeks earlier.

“It’s just so special,” Keselowski said. “It’s not just for me, but for everybody that works on these cars and supports us.”

Ricky Stenhouse Jr. finished fourth to win the Rookie of the Year Title after struggling at the beginning of the season.

“It’s awesome,” Stenhouse Jr. said. “It’s been a tough season and to get it turned around, it’s pretty cool.”

Trevor Bayne rounded out the top five for his first top five with Roush-Fenway Racing.

“This is exciting as we get to go into the off-season now knowing we’re a top five,” Bayne said. “We had to fight back after getting in the wall.”

Pole sitter Joey Logano finished seventh.

Meanwhile, Danica Patrick scored his first top 20 finish in NASCAR and first finish on the lead lap after starting fifth.

“Why am I so upset?” Patrick asked herself afterwards. “‘Cause I was working my ass off to try to get by that 09 car and I couldn’t get by. I’m not contending for wins so I’ve got to find the little victories and I’m mad. We qualified really well and there are a lot of positives, but I’m still mad.”

The teams will have their banquet this Monday at the Loews Miami Beach Hotel to celebrate their accomplishments. The top five drivers and teams from the Nationwide Series will be joined by the top five drivers and teams from the NASCAR Camping World Series for the second straight year. Those top five drivers in both series will be featured on stage, while positions sixth-10th will be recognized for their accomplishments.

Also, for the second consecutive year, SPEED personalities Rick Allen and Krista Voda will host the banquet. Additionally, comedian Tom Papa will entertain the crowed.

The banquet will air on SPEED on Friday December 3, 2010 from 7:00pm-9:00pm EST as a lead-in to the NASCAR Sprint Cup Awards Banquet, also on SPEED.

Then in 90 days, the Nationwide Series will begin the 2011 season with the season-opener at Daytona International Speedway on Saturday February 19th.

Quieting the Critics: Matt Kenseth Set For Top Five Finish in Chase Standings

When Matt Kenseth and his No. 17 Crown Royal Ford Fusion team made the Chase for the Sprint Cup Championship back in September, his fans didn’t hear the congratulations of being among the top 12 in the playoffs. They didn’t hear about how Kenseth was among the best in the business for this season who would be competing in the toughest 10 races of NASCAR.

[media-credit name=”CIA Stock Photo” align=”alignleft” width=”300″][/media-credit]No, what they heard was that Kenseth shouldn’t have been in the Chase at all.

It has been a rare season for a man that has built a career on consistency, although at the start of the 2010 season it looked like Kenseth was going to be in typical form. Through the first five races he had five top 10 finishes, the worst of those being an eighth place in the season opening Daytona 500.

Working with new crew chief Todd Parrott brought not only confidence and excitement, but also optimism. They finished second in Atlanta in March and then third at Dover in June after leading for 15 laps.

Now through the first 16 races run Kenseth led in nine of those events, but then things started to get rocky. By mid-June as the team sat seventh in points, Parrott was released from his crew chiefing duties.

Team owner Jack Roush felt the team wasn’t hitting on things during the race weekend or learning in the practice sessions.

In came Jimmy Fennig. Kenseth and Fennig already had a pre-established relationship and a good one. While things weren’t going to change overnight, the hopes were high that the crew chief search was over.

“You hate changing stuff around all the time because it’s hard to get any kind of consistency going … it’s hard to build on stuff,” said Kenseth.

Through the summer months the team continued to ride the roller coaster. The next six races resulted in finishes of 12th or worse before a fifth place at Michigan before the Chase started just weeks later.

To some they squeaked by and made it in. To others they were taking the place of more deserving teams such as Jamie McMurray who a strong case was made for. Kenseth and the entire Roush-Fenway organization never stopped working though and they knew that it was a only a matter of time before they became factors.

In the third race of the Chase, Kansas, he led 26 laps and finished seventh. The following week at California where he’s won at before he started third, led 29 laps and 40 laps remaining while he ran in the top 10 the engine started to go sour. He finished 30th and sat 11th in points, still facing the critics that said he would finished 12th in points.

Over the last few weekends though, those critics have gotten quieter.

Kenseth finished sixth at Charlotte, 15th at Martinsville, and 16th at Talladega after leading 12 laps. Now they quietly sat eighth in points as the focus and attention turned to the top three in the championship battle.

Entering Texas only twice this season had RFR been able to celebrate victories, both coming from Greg Biffle. None of their three drivers, Kenseth, Biffle or Carl Edwards was going to win the title as all three were enduring their own struggles in the Chase.

Texas though is one of Kenseth best racetrack and he came with one half a lap of winning his first race since February of 2009. Biffle dominated the race and Edwards had won the Nationwide Series race the day before.

Next came Phoenix where Edwards swept the weekend and Kenseth earned another top 10 finish. Entering the final weekend of the season the team that had fought all year long was sitting fifth in the championship standings.

Yes, fifth.

Winless and with a pole, they’re among the drivers that have been in the spotlight all season long. The 14 top 10s and six top fives they’ve complied is the worst of any driver in the Chase, but through the elimination of mistakes and wrecks it’s helped their points climb.

Before the Chase they led just 35 laps. In nine races of the 10 in the Chase, they’ve led 72 laps.

“All our cars [Roush-Fenway] seem to be faster the last few months, so lately it seems things have been going better,” said Kenseth at Homestead.

“Last week [Phoenix] I thought we had a shot at it without having that pit road penalty on our last pit stop,” he said. “It feels like we’re gaining momentum and things are smoother and cars are quicker and we’re understanding each other probably a little better.”

Sunday at Homestead will mark Kenseth’s 400th career start in the NSCS. He’s reflected only a little, just to think about former crew chief Robbie Reiser whom he once drove for and then won a Cup title with in 2003.

But there’s not time to reflect too much, because to Kenseth it’s just another race and the last race to get a win this season. He’s only ever gone winless in a season once before, that was 2008. He’s start from the lucky No. 13 spot at a track that has been dominated by the company he drives for and where he won in 2007. There’s nothing like ending the season on a high note, even though it’s in the back of his mind that if something does go wrong he could potentially finish 11th in points.

“It’s been a disappointing few years for me and probably for the team as well,” he said. “I feel like if we can get through Sunday without problems and run as good as I feel we’re capable of and finish fourth of fifth in the points, that’s a highlight of our year, something to hang on our hat on.”

It would be hard to question whether he deserved to be in the Chase then.

Busch Takes Ford 200, Truck Owner’s Championship; Bodine Crowned Driver Championship

In typical Kyle Busch fashion, his talent behind the wheel was showcased to the masses as he drove through the field and took the win.

[media-credit name=”CIA Stock Photo” align=”alignleft” width=”300″][/media-credit]With 36 laps to go, Busch was up front and looked to have the Camping World Truck Series Owner’s Championship secured. However, contact with the wall caused Busch to have a flat tire and be stuck back in traffic. If Busch had finished where he was running at the time, he would have still became the champion, though Busch wasn’t going down that way.

“From that point on, it was about getting back to the front,” Busch said in victory lane. “I wasn’t thinking about the championship.”

The race resumed with David Mayhew as the leader as he stayed out and didn’t pit. The field was a mixed bag of drivers who stayed out, took two tires or took four tires so it was spelled out to be a dramatic finish.

With 23 to go, the dramatics hit a high as John Jackson destroyed his truck as he piled into the sand barrels at the end of pit road, bringing out the red flag to clean up the mess.

On the restart, Ron Hornaday worked his way past both Mayhew and Travis Kravil to take the lead. Hornaday stretched it out, though it was Busch who everybody had to worry about.

From 36 to go to 17 to go, Busch worked his way from 22nd to third and wasn’t done yet. Busch worked on closing in on the back of Hornaday. It was a caution for Sauter spinning out with eight to go that would bring them together however, resulting in a late race restart.

Hornaday, as per advice from car owner Kevin Harvick, took the outside on the restart and was set to pin Busch down. However, it was too no use as Busch blew past Hornaday and never looked back.

“I don’t know how he did it,” Hornaday said afterwards. “I had it wide open. He must have sidedrafted off of me.

“He just passed me like I was standing still. I just got tight at the end.”

The win gave Busch his eighth Truck win of the year and 23rd NASCAR victory this year.

“This is so cool,” Busch said in victory lane. “To come out and win in our last race in the style we did it – that definately allowed the fans to not be left without excitement.

“I’d like to thank everybody at Kyle Busch Motorsports – Rick Ren, Eric Phillips. Eric made good adjustments and kept my head on my shoulders.

“For me, it’s great to have this opportunity to race with these competitors, like Ron Hornaday and Todd Bodine. Congrats to Todd Bodine for the driver’s championship.”

The owner’s championship for Kyle Busch Motorsports came in their first year of opporation. It comes after going through a year where they didn’t know if they’d make it to Daytona or have enough sponsorship to make it the whole year.

“It happened quick and I couldn’t be prouder,” Busch said. “All the guys that do such a good job at Kyle Busch Motorsports and all the partners that we’ve had help from. All the people that we’ve had to help us. We’re trying to get enough partners together to be able to go full-time next year with some young drivers and veteran drivers, like myself, to go for another championship.

“It’s odd considering that we’ve only been together a year.”

Hornaday finished second with Johnny Sauter third.

Todd Bodine, who had locked up the Truck Series Championship already, finished fourth and was officially crowned the champion.

“I never thought I’d be a one time champion, let alone a two time champion,” Bodine said. “I just don’t know what to say. It’s all due to these guys on this stage. It’s with hard to be part of a group that cares so much about each other and I keep counting our blessings with this being our fifth year together.”

Aric Almirola rounded out the top five.

Pole sitter Austin Dillion finished 31st after making contact with the wall and cutting down a tire.

“I thought we were sitting right there with those four tires back in traffic, but got a little impatient there,” Dillion said afterwards. “The yellow stripe came out in the first race of the year and the last race of the year.”

Despite the poor finish, Dillon was officially crowed 2010 Raybestos Rookie of the Year.

The teams will have their banquet this Monday at the Loews Miami Beach Hotel to celebrate their accomplishments. The top five drivers and teams from the Camping World Truck Series will be joined by the top five drivers and teams from the NASCAR Nationwide Series for the second straight year. Those top five drivers in both series will be featured on stage, while positions sixth-10th will be recognized for their accomplishments.

Also, for the second consecutive year, SPEED personalities Rick Allen and Krista Voda will host the banquet. Additionally, comedian Tom Papa will entertain the crowed.

The banquet will air on SPEED on Friday December 3, 2010 from 7:00pm-9:00pm EST as a lead-in to the NASCAR Sprint Cup Awards Banquet, also on SPEED.

Then in 90 days, the trucks will begin the 2011 season with the season-opener at Daytona International Speedway on Friday February 18th.

Unofficial Race Results

Ford 200, Homestead-Miami Speedway

November 19, 2010 – Race 25 of 25

Pos. St. No. Driver Make Pts. Bon. Laps Status
1 2 18 Kyle Busch Toyota 195 10 134 Running
2 9 33 Ron Hornaday Chevrolet 175 5 134 Running
3 3 13 Johnny Sauter Chevrolet 170 5 134 Running
4 8 30 Todd Bodine Toyota 165 5 134 Running
5 5 51 Aric Almirola Toyota 160 5 134 Running
6 7 88 Matt Crafton Chevrolet 150 0 134 Running
7 6 7 Justin Lofton * Toyota 146 0 134 Running
8 10 5 Mike Skinner Toyota 142 0 134 Running
9 24 11 Miguel Paludo Toyota 138 0 134 Running
10 11 125 Tayler Malsam Toyota 134 0 134 Running
11 18 181 David Starr Toyota 130 0 134 Running
12 21 46 Craig Goess Toyota 127 0 134 Running
13 4 2 Elliott Sadler Chevrolet 124 0 134 Running
14 19 119 David Mayhew Chevrolet 121 0 134 Running
15 17 216 Travis Kvapil Chevrolet 123 5 134 Running
16 28 39 Ryan Sieg Chevrolet 115 0 134 Running
17 15 17 Timothy Peters Toyota 112 0 134 Running
18 13 9 Max Papis Toyota 109 0 134 Running
19 20 31 James Buescher Chevrolet 106 0 134 Running
20 25 120 Johanna Long Toyota 103 0 134 Running
21 22 4 Ricky Carmichael Chevrolet 100 0 134 Running
22 27 48 Hermie Sadler Chevrolet 97 0 134 Running
23 16 23 Jason White Ford 99 5 134 Running
24 32 10 Jennifer Jo Cobb * Ford 91 0 134 Running
25 14 90 Brad Sweet Chevrolet 88 0 132 Running
26 26 47 Jeffrey Earnhardt Chevrolet 85 0 132 Running
27 29 7 John King Ford 82 0 132 Running
28 12 60 Cole Whitt Chevrolet 79 0 132 Running
29 36 177 Tom Hessert Jr. Toyota 76 0 132 Running
30 31 85 Brent Raymer Ford 73 0 132 Running
31 1 3 Austin Dillon * Chevrolet 75 5 130 Running
32 34 57 Norm Benning Chevrolet 67 0 129 Running
33 35 6 Derek White Chevrolet 64 0 128 Running
34 23 172 John Jackson Chevrolet 61 0 108 Accident
35 30 12 Mario Gosselin Chevrolet 58 0 45 Engine
36 33 93 Shane Sieg Chevrolet 55 0 8 Electrical

Hamlin, Johnson and Harvick: The Sprint Cup Chase Tracker With 1 To Go

The past five races of the Sprint Cup Series Chase have been interesting to watch as the action has focused on Denny Hamlin, Jimmie Johnson, and Kevin Harvick.

[media-credit name=”Barry Albert” align=”alignleft” width=”300″][/media-credit]Back at Charlotte, it seemed that the picture for the final run to the champion was being set.

Following Charlotte, Harvick sat third in points, 77 points behind then leader Johnson, after finishing eighth.

Hamlin sat in second, 41 points behind, after finishing fourth. Hamlin started to show his determination there as the disappointment could be seen on his face as he knew he’d lost ground to Johnson.

Johnson, meanwhile, finished second, after making an incredible comeback.

At the beginning of the race, Johnson had a really loose car, which caused him to spin. Once he was stuck back in traffic, it was thought that he’d be done. However, like many times before, crew chief Chad Knaus pulled out the magic wand and got the car to where it was the quickest car on track. Johnson drove from the back to lead the race for awhile, and then eventually settled for second.

After the oval, the series headed to the Martinsville paperclip, where the Chase took another turn.

Harvick showed he wasn’t backing out of it yet as he finished third, now sitting 62 points behind.

“I just have to thank everybody on this Shell-Pennzoil Chevrolet,” Harvick said after that race. “Those guys on pit road were just awesome today and really kept us up front and in the race. That’s what we have to do. We kept the No. 48 (Johnson) behind us and the No. 11 (Hamlin) in sight. Everybody said this was going to be a two-horse race, and we were right there in the middle of it. So, today was a lot of fun. We came here and finished third at a track that we never had a top-five finish. Right now, we have four more weeks. I’m really looking forward to Talladega and just racing hard.”

Hamlin, meanwhile, made himself known as he won the race, closing the gap to just six points.

“We’re back, baby,” Hamlin said after the race. “Awesome job.”

Johnson, though, held his ground as he finished fifth.

“Good top-five finish today. We certainly wanted to finish higher. But it’s over and done with,” said Johnson afterwards. “It is what it is. Top five is something would have been a good goal coming in here this weekend. We’re rolling into Talladega. We all know what can happen there. Happy to still be leading. Wish the margin had gone the other way. Denny won the race, closed it up. We’ll buckle down, go to work the next four.”

Talladega was the next step on the line for the trio, in which it brought more drama to the Chase.

In a dramatic finish, Harvick barely missed the win by inches as the win went to teammate Clint Bowyer. Though he was still satisfied with how he did, considering he got damage in an earlier wreck.

‎”I didn’t know when the caution came out, but I know I beat him to the line,” Harvick said afterward. “I just got thank David Reutimann for the push….That’s what we came to Talladega to do. We came to win the race, came up a spot short on that, but beat the guys we needed to.”

The second-place finish allowed Harvick to gain points as he now sat 38 behind.

Hamlin, meanwhile, fought his own battles at Talladega as he got to ninth after coming back from being a lap down. This left him sitting 14 points back.

For Hamlin, that was enough as he was ready for the final stretch.

‎”I like that the championship will be decided on three race tracks where the drivers are in control,” Hamlin said afterwards. “Let the best man win.”

Johnson was looking for more, though a seventh place finish was all he could manage.

‎”It’s not the best finish, but we’ll take it,” he said after the race. “I thought we had this thing in control and we could’ve hung on till the end.”

From the Talladega highbanks, the series traveled to the lonestar state, where some of the biggest twists of the entire chase will be recalled from.

Harvick had a consistent day as he finished sixth.

Hamlin, though, made himself known as he took the lead with 29 to go and never looked back.

With the win, Hamlin took the lead in the championship standings by 33 points over Jimmie Johnson, who finished ninth.

“It was just a long day,” Johnson said. “We just gave away so much track position at the beginning and it was tough to get back to where we needed to.

“On the restart, it was the 16 spinning the tires on the restart and all those guys who took tires behind us.”

“It was pretty rough day for sure,” crew chief Chad Knaus said. “We lost the track

position and when you get back there, you don’t know how you should tune on the car.”

The race was an eventful one for the No. 48 team that even included a pit crew swap.

Out of the first seven stops of the day, the No. 48 team lost spots on four of them, costing their driver valuable time. Once teammate Jeff Gordon was wrecked out of the race, Hendrick officials decided to use Gordon’s pit crew.

“Ultimately, it was my decision to make the decision as we were getting beat,” Knaus said. “I hope we get back with the 48 guys and get things back on track.”

“I’m okay with it,” front tire changer Mike Lingerfelt said. “We’re all team players.”

Johnson said, though despite everything, don’t count them out.

“I’ve lost plenty of championships in the past,” he said. “You’re not going to get everything you want every weekend. I can promise you this – 33 back is not where we want to be, but we’re going to work hard on getting it back.”

The change was set to stay in place heading into Phoenix, which the final run to the finish led to the championship standings growing even closer.

Harvick had issues during the day, including hitting the wall and a loose lug nut on a lap 224 pit stop. Harvick used it to his advantage as he pitted under the lap 233 caution, while most of the leaders stayed out, to be able to make it to the end and finish sixth.

“I was pretty down and I thought, ‘There it went,’” Harvick said. “We dodged one, for sure.”

Harvick now sits third in points, 46 points behind Hamlin.

Johnson also used the fuel card as he stretched it the last 88 laps to come home fifth and bring the gap from first to second to just 15 points.

“I’m so happy to put pressure on the No. 11 team,” Johnson said.

Hamlin, meanwhile, led a series high 190 laps before having to pit late for fuel, resulting in a 12th place finish.

“Knowing that we had a very, very good points lead with 15 or 20 to go, that quickly diminishes, it hurts,” Hamlin said. “It hurts when you have a car that can possibly win.

“So for me, I wasn’t aware that anyone was going to try to stretch it [on fuel] and make it. [Crew chief] Mike [Ford] didn’t make me aware that anyone was going to stretch it and make it so I went out there and ran as hard as I could. Unfortunately, our car didn’t have as good of fuel mileage as everyone else’s.”

The Sprint Cup Series now heads to the final event of the season – the Ford 400 at Homestead-Miami Speedway.

Hamlin looks to lock up the championship while Johnson and Harvick look to steal the trophy away.

For Hamlin not to worry about where Johnson or Harvick finish and just purely lock up the championship, he has to win or finish second while leading the most laps. If he falls beyond those two positions, depending on where Johnson finishes, he could lose the championship.

In a sense, for Johnson to win the title, he has to gain 16 points on Hamlin as if he ties, he loses virtue of the tie breaker.

If Johnson wins and leads the most laps, Hamlin has to finish second and tie him in the most laps led category.

If Johnson wins, but doesn’t lead the most laps, Hamlin has to finish second or finish third while leading at least one lap.

If Johnson finishes second while leading the most laps, Hamlin has to finish third or better without leading a lap, fourth or better with leading at least a lap or finish fifth and tie him for most laps led.

If Johnson finishes second while leading at least one lap, Hamlin has to finish fourth or better without leading a lap, fifth or better with leading at least a lap or finish sixth and lead the most laps.

If Johnson finishes second yet doesn’t lead, Hamlin has to finish fifth or better without leading a lap, sixth with leading at least a lap, or seventh and lead the most laps.

The scenarios can continue way beyond that as they are pretty much endless till you get Hamlin finishing last and not leading a lap.

However, there is also a third party – Harvick. Harvick could play a definite factor, depending on how he finishes.

For Harvick to win the championship, he is going to need to gain 47 points on Hamlin and 32 points on Johnson.

Let’s take a look at a couple of scenarios.

If Harvick was to win the race and lead the most laps, he’d need Hamlin to finish seventh or worse, eighth or worse if he led a lap or ninth or worse if he tied Harvick in leading the most. Harvick would then also need Johnson to finish fourth or worse, third or worse if he led a lap, or second or worse if he tied Harvick in most laps led.

If Harvick wins the race without leading the most, Hamlin needs to finish eighth or worse, ninth or worse if he leads, or 11th or worse if he leads the most. He then would need Johnson to also finish fifth or worse, sixth or worse if he led, or seventh or worse if he led the most laps.

If Harvick was to finish second with leading the most laps, he’d need Hamlin to finish 11th or worse, 12th or worse if he led or 14th or worse if he led the most laps. He then would also need Johnson to finish seventh or worse, eighth or worse if he led, or ninth or worse if he led the most laps.

If Harvick was to finish second with leading at least a lap but not the most, he’d need Hamlin to finish 12th or worse, 14th or worse if he led, or 15th or worse if he led the most. He then would need Johnson to finish eighth or worse, ninth or worse if he led, or 11th or worse if he led the most laps.

If Harvick was to finish second without leading a lap, he’d need Hamlin to finish 14th or worse, 15th or worse if he led, or 17th or worse if he led the most laps. He then would need Johnson to finish ninth or worse, 11th or worse if he led, or 12th or worse if he led the most laps.

Their past performances at Homestead-Miami would believe you to think that Harvick would have an advantage.

In Harvick’s past nine starts at Homestead-Miami, he has no wins, four top fives, seven top 10s and an average finish of 8.4. Last year he finished third while in 2008, he finished second.

For Johnson, in his past nine starts at Homestead-Miami, he has no wins, three top fives, six top 10s and an average finish of 12.7. Last year, he finished fifth while the year before, he finished 15th. Though Johnson has taken the conservative approach the last four years due to just looking to lock up the championship so with the need to push it, he could step up it up to a win.

Hamlin, meanwhile, has already done the duty of stepping it up to a win. In his five past starts, he has one win, three top fives, three top 10s and an average finish of 10.6. He is last year’s winner as he won the race to close out the season, making his claim then that he was going after the title this year.

As a whole, this looks to be one of the best championship fights that NASCAR has seen in awhile and it definitely will go down to the wire. Depending on what driver pushes it to most, what teams performs the best on pit road and what crew chief makes the best adjustments will determine who your 2010 champion is.

Chase Mattioli Juggles Homestead Nationwide Debut, Midterms and Saving the Planet

Chase Mattioli, 21-year old member of the Mattioli/Pocono racing family, is doing his best this weekend to juggle his Nationwide debut at Homestead, along with his midterms at Fordham University and his passion for all things environmental.

[media-credit name=”chasemattioli.com” align=”alignleft” width=”300″][/media-credit]Mattioli will be on the track for the last Nationwide race of the 2010 season, the Ford 300 at Homestead-Miami Speedway on Saturday, November 20th. He will be driving for Baker Curb Racing and will be behind the wheel of the No. 27 CollegeComplete.com Ford Fusion.

“We have had our eye on Chase and what he has accomplished both on and off the track, for quite some time,” Matt Crews, Baker Curb President, said. “He is exactly the type of driver that we want to represent Baker Curb Racing.”

Mattioli for his part is most excited to get behind the wheel, especially for a Nationwide ride, which he has not had since the Loudon race in 2009. Mattioli has been racing in the ARCA Series this year, as well as making his first Truck start at his home track, Pocono Raceway, this past summer.

“This has been a real exciting week getting ready to do this Nationwide thing,” Mattioli said. “It’s kind of weird how we’ve been struggling and struggling to find sponsorship and get the right opportunity and then the last race of the year everything just kind of falls into place.”

Mattioli, who is a junior at Fordham University in the Bronx, has also found the perfect match as far as a sponsor for this race. His race car will sport the logo of CollegeComplete.com, a company that helps connect potential students to the colleges and educational institutions where they will be most successful.

“We are extremely proud to join forces with Chase, who is completing his undergraduate degree at Fordham University while pursuing his racing career,” Bill Brebaugh, founding Principal at Ed Ideas, the parent company of CollegeComplete.com, said. “He is the perfect example of a non-traditional student and is an inspiration to those trying to balance earning a living with obtaining the education they need to survive in today’s competitive job market.”

Mattioli can most certainly relate to the struggles of balancing racing with his college pursuits. In fact, he is smack dab in the middle of his junior year, having to fly to Homestead at the last minute for the race after completing his class room obligations.

“I have four classes before I fly to Homestead, so I have to make sure that I make all of them,” Mattioli said. “The cool thing about Fordham is that we have midterms and then finals so I can go racing in between that.”

Mattioli has also just added another sponsor for the Homestead Nationwide race, one that he is extremely passionate about, the environment. He has successfully partnered GreenTree Environmental Consultants, a unique recycling company, who in conjunction with CollegeComplete.com, will provide a scholarship for a deserving student.

“I’m really excited about this because I’m all about recycling,” Mattioli said. “It’s something I’m really trying to push with my racing.”

The amount of the scholarship, however, will be based on how Mattioli performs in his Nationwide debut. If he finishes in the top 20 at Homestead, the matching scholarship will be $15,000 and if he finishes in the top 10, it will be $30,000, providing just another added incentive to the young driver.

“Working in conjunction with Baker Curb Racing and CollegeComplete.com, we have entered into an agreement with HCC Specialty Underwriters where the matching scholarship could now total up to $30,000,” Tim Drillette, CEO of GreenTree Environmental Consultants, said. “Education is a key to a green world and Chase is helping to spread the word.”

Mattioli knows that he has his work cut out for him at Homestead-Miami Speedway, but is trying to keep himself as “humble and mellow as possible.”

“This will be my first real competitive Nationwide start to date,” Mattioli said. “Based on the performance of Baker Curb Racing, we’re definitely going to go and try for a top 15 or top 10.”

Mattioli is, however, aware that he also has a great deal to learn and fully expects to respect the regular season racers, as well as the veterans on the track.

“You just have to show them the respect that they deserve,” Mattioli said. The young driver is fortunate that he has a guaranteed starting spot and will not have to qualify in on time.

Mattioli is also cognizant that there will be many eyes and much media attention on these last races of the season in all three divisions, Truck, Nationwide and Cup.

“Homestead is one of those cool places where all the championships are finalized,” Mattioli said. “Fortunately the Truck and Nationwide championships are decided but the Cup championship is the best I’ve ever seen so far. I’m excited just watching it because I don’t know what’s going to happen.”

Unfortunately, this young driver and race fan himself will not be able to stay and watch the Cup race. Mattioli has classes bright and early back at Fordham on Monday so he is flying out of Homestead Sunday morning.

The racer, college student, and environmental champion then intends to join his family for a much needed Thanksgiving break, complete with all the trimmings cooked by his grandmother, Rose Mattioli, and the rest of his Pocono Raceway family.

“We’ll have about 15 people over and cook for 90,” Mattioli said. “I’m really excited to go home and see them all.”

NOTES FROM THE NASCAR NATION: Three drivers, 267 laps and one trophy

The drama of the Chase will hit its zenith point this Sunday afternoon with the running of the Ford 400 at the Homestead-Miami Speedway. Three drivers will battle it out for 267 laps for NASCAR’s grand prize: the 2010 Sprint Cup Chase for the Championship trophy. With only 46 points separating the Chase contenders, there is a ton of pre race anticipation that says the Ford 400 could turn into a winner take all shoot out to the checkers.

[media-credit name=”CIA Stock Photo” align=”alignright” width=”300″][/media-credit]THE STORY BREAKDOWN

All eyes will be on Denny Hamlin, Jimmie Johnson and Kevin Harvick next Sunday afternoon. We will carefully monitor their progress lap after lap. Every time one member of the Chase trio has a change in track position you can expect to see a graphic from ESPN2 informing us how that change impacted the Chase numbers.

Denny Hamlin, and his #11 Joe Gibbs Racing Toyota, is at the forefront of the Chase shootout with a 15 point lead over Johnson and a 46 point advantage over Harvick. Mathematically speaking, there are two possible ways for Hamlin to clinch the Chase. The first is rather obvious: win the race. The second clinch scenario is finish second after leading the most laps in the race.

Both scenarios are very doable for Hamlin this Sunday. Among the three championship contenders he’s the only one who has won a race at the Homestead-Miami Speedway. In fact, he’s the defending race winner from last year after starting 38th. In five starts at this speedway Hamlin also has three top five finishes, three top tens and a healthy average finish ratio of 10.6.

But the one thing that Hamlin really seems to have at this point in time is a sense of razor sharp focus. In recent weeks he has been viewed as being somewhat arrogant but we should not be buying into that. When the green flag falls on the Ford 400 next Sunday a highly focused Hamlin will be concentrating on the job at hand. That razor sharp attention factor could lead to the championship he’s always dreamed of.

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The Homestead-Miami Speedway is one of the few tracks on the Sprint Cup circuit where Jimmie Johnson hasn’t visited victory lane. In nine starts there he’s accumulated three top five finishes, six top tens, an average finish ratio of 12.7 and he’s won the pole position twice.

He of course holds the Sprint Cup Series record for winning four consecutive championships and there are many observers who truly believe that his drive for five campaign could happen this Sunday. It’s that experience he has in winning a championship that could be a major factor this weekend. Johnson fully understands the procedure and is an expert at dealing with the stress levels it presents.

The other outstanding quality this team has is the combination of Johnson and crew chief Chad Knaus along with their combined ability to display grace under fire. No matter what racing surprise develops, or the intensity level that it creates, this duo seems to calmly address the issue and work their way through it. That’s also the mark of champions.

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Kevin Harvick will also be seeking his first win at Homestead-Miami this Sunday. But in nine starts there he has the best set of numbers among the Chase contenders. That includes five top five finishes, seven top tens and a low average finish ratio of 8.4.

At 46 points out, Harvick will be the driver to watch on Sunday. Expect him to take a very aggressive approach to this race prepared to do whatever’s necessary to launch a charge to the front. Realistically, he has nothing to lose and everything to gain by this approach. He put it best himself in recent days when he said “the worst that can happen is we finish third in the Chase.”

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There are many other factors connected to the Ford 400 that could have an impact on the final resolution of the Chase. While the focal point may be on three drivers, we need to remember that there’s going to be 43 starting this race and many of them will have their own team agendas well outside of the Chase profile.

The Homestead-Miami Speedway is the only track on the Sprint Cup circuit that four time champion Jeff Gordon hasn’t won at. Then again, his last win dates back to the fall race in Texas last year. Look for Gordon to pull out all the stops to rectify this situation next Sunday.

After an extremely dismal 2009 season, Richard Childress Racing was thrilled to see all three of their cars in the Chase line up this year. However, despite some very strong efforts, Jeff Burton is the only Childress driver who has yet to find victory lane this season. Look for a very aggressive effort from the 31 team on Sunday.

Kurt Busch certainly has a personal agenda connected to the Ford 400. It’s his farewell race in Penske Racing’s #2 Miller Lite Dodge. Next year Busch will be moving to Penske’s #22 Shell/Penzoil Dodge. Considering the legacy of the blue deuce in NASCAR racing, it’s a safe bet that Busch would love to exit this ride in victory lane.

However Busch has yet another agenda he have to concentrate on this Sunday. He’s currently tenth in the Chase rankings but only five points ahead of Clint Bowyer. Remember, only the top ten gets the coveted stage, and live television, time during next month’s Sprint Cup awards banquet in Busch’s home town of Las Vegas.

No one should make the mistake of overlooking the Ford contingency this Sunday. Ford holds the Homestead-Miami Speedway’s manufacturer’s record with six wins. All six of those wins have been delivered by Roush Fenway Racing with driver Greg Biffle serving up a record high three of them. Carl Edwards has found his fire again and looked very strong en route to his win at Phoenix last weekend. Matt Kenseth has been showing some strength recently as well. Kenseth will be making his 400th Sprint Cup career start Sunday and would love to honor that occasion with his first win of the season.

Let’s also not forget that anytime a corporation is the official race sponsor as well as having ties to individual race teams then the drivers of those teams has a tendency to work even harder to get a win for their sponsor.

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Since the start of the 2010 season, last February 14th at Daytona, the NASCAR Sprint Cup Series has ran 10,244 laps, 13,777 miles featuring 1,505 starters. Now, during the championship weekend, it all comes down to three drivers, 267 laps and one trophy.

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THE VEGAS BREAKDOWN

Regarding the 2010 Sprint Cup Chase for the Championship, the Las Vegas based World Sports Exchange, (WSE), seems to believe that Denny Hamlin can accomplish his great American dream by winning his first NASCAR title. They’re backing that with 1 to 2 odds. The WSE has Jimmie Johnson ranked at 9 to 5 odds to take his fifth consecutive title. Kevin Harvick has been rated at 10 to 1. These WSE numbers are highly significant in the fact that it’s the first time since January that Johnson has not been on top of their list to win the championship.

Regarding their picks for the Ford 400, the WSE has Johnson and Hamlin dead even at 5 to 1 as favorites to win. Carl Edwards is behind them at 6 to 1 followed by Harvick at 7 to 1. At 8 to 1 you will find three time race winner Greg Biffle with Kyle Busch right behind him at 9 to 1. The top of the WSE list closes out this week with two time winner Tony Stewart and Jeff Gordon ranked at 15 to 1. Either one of those two drivers could turn out to be a lucrative long shot wager.

Now for the weekly disclaimer: NASCAR wants us to remind you that these numbers are for informational and entertainment purposes. They neither encourage nor condone the placing of wagers on their events.

This is normally where I offer some silly alternative regarding how to spend the left over coins from your weekly budget. I’m not doing that this week. This is Ford championship weekend and every NASCAR fan in the country has the right to get a little wild and crazy.

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THE RACE BREAKDOWN

The Ford 400 is 267 laps/400.5 miles around the Homestead-Miami Speedway’s 1.5 mile oval.

The race has 45 entries vying for the 43 starting berths. Nine of the entries are on the go or go home list meaning they don’t have a guaranteed starting berth because they are currently outside of NASCAR’s top 35 in owner’s points. These teams will have to rely on qualifying speeds to make the race.

Qualifying day is going to be important because it will establish pre race track position and, of equal importance, determine the order of pit stall selections. The track qualifying record, 181.111 MPH, was set by Jamie McMurray back in November of 2003.

The first NASCAR Sprint Cup race was held at the Homestead-Miami Speedway in November of 1999 and was won by Tony Stewart. Since that time there has been 11 Cup races at the speedway that has sent eight different winners to victory lane.

The Homestead-Miami Speedway has progressive banking in its turns measuring 18,19, and 20 degrees. The two straight-aways only has four degrees of banking.

The pit road speed is 45 MPH.

The weather forecast for race day Sunday calls for sunny skies and daytime highs around 76 degrees. Because this is solely a daytime race, track temperatures could be a concern for crew chiefs. Also of concern will be the opening phase of sunset, towards the end of the race, when drivers will have to endure a severe glare on their windshields while going down the front straightaway towards turn one.

The Ford 400 will be broadcast live by the ESPN2 Network with the pre race show beginning at 12 pm eastern time. The race re airs will be Monday morning, 330 am et, also on ESPN2 and again on Wednesday afternoon, 230 pm et, on SPEED.

2010 Championship Week Preview: Hamlin, Harvick, Johnson gunning for the title

In recent years, Jimmie Johnson had a three-digit points lead and only needed to finish the race to win yet another Sprint Cup Series title.

Things have changed — drastically.

Three guys — Denny Hamlin, Kevin Harvick and Johnson — are in the running for the championship, which will undoubtedly come down to the final lap of the Ford 400 this weekend.

[media-credit name=”Getty Images” align=”alignright” width=”400″][/media-credit]Only 15 points separate the top-two drivers in the closest championship battle since the advent of the new points system in 1974. Hamlin, the points leader, can only clinch by winning the race or leading the most laps and finishing second. Otherwise, he will need to outrun Johnson and Harvick.

“I’m in a good spot knowing that I just have — I can control my own destiny and not have to worry about anything else,” Hamlin said during Thursday’s championship contenders press conference. “If we win the race, it’s a moot point.”

Johnson has more to overcome than Hamlin’s one victory and three top-five finishes in five starts at Homestead. Since 1975, only two drivers have ever come from behind in the final race to win the title In 1979, Richard Petty won the championship after entering the season finale trailing Darrell Waltrip by two points and most recently in 1992 when Alan Kulwicki overcame a 30-point deficit to beat Davey Allison. Still, Johnson says he is more relaxed coming into the finale than he ever has been.

“For us, I mean, we have nothing to lose,” Johnson said. “… When you’re defending, your mind starts to change, and you start to think about the ‘what ifs.’ When you’re chasing, it’s more about ‘What do I need to do?’ It’s been a more relaxed week for me, even though I’m down 15 points, than I’ve ever experienced before.”

Johnson is looking for his fifth straight championship title while Hamlin and Harvick are both looking for their first.

Storylines:

At the end of the year banquet held in Las Vegas, the top-ten drivers in the chase will be invited to come up on stage, the 11th and 12th place drivers will not. As Hamlin, Johnson and Harvick battle for the championship, the other end of the chase field is battling to stay in the top-ten. Kurt Busch currently holds the tenth spot, but Clint Bowyer is only five points behind.

The final race of the 2010 season also means it’s the final opportunity for cars to either gain or lose a spot in the top-35 owner points race. The No. 71 team currently holds a 74-point lead over the No. 38 team, who is in 36th. The first five races of next season will use the top-35 owner points from the end of this season to determine which cars will be guaranteed a starting spot.

Last year:

The 2009 Ford 400 was won by Denny Hamlin after Jimmie Johnson, eventual champion, sat on the pole.

Race information:

Track: Homestead-Miami Speedway; Homestead, Fla. (1.5-mile oval)
Date: Sunday, Nov. 21 at 1:00 p.m. ET
TV: ESPN, 1 p.m. ET (pre-race starting at Noon ET on ESPN2)
Radio: MRN Radio/Sirius-XM NASCAR Radio 128

NASCAR Announcement: A Gigantic Load Of Fail For The 2011 Season

All aboard the Failboat!

Even though it’s been some months since I’ve been able to sit down at a keyboard and type the usual sort of revolting prose that I’m not really all that famous for, I haven’t been sitting idle. I am keeping track of what’s going on in NASCAR, but I’m also working on a few side projects (one being a possible Youtube automotive show of sorts), and following the pursuits of other types of auto racing. A lot has happened in my absence, but at the same time, nothing has changed.

Top Gear USA

Before I say anything else, there is a USA-version of Top Gear coming out on the History Channel….and from what I’ve seen of the new show….I cannot come up with another term more stupendously powerful than ‘it freaking sucks’. This show sucks so freaking badly, I’m ashamed to even be in the same country as the location it’s produced in. This show is proof that brain donors do indeed walk the earth. This show makes me psychotically envious of those who are legally blind and deaf. This show sucks so freaking badly, that you’d be hard-pressed to get better sucking results from a $300,000 Hoover vacuum cleaner.

BBC Top Gear presenter Jeremy Clarkson once said something to the effect that “Americans don’t ‘get’ Top Gear”.

It’s not the viewing Americans with the problem. We ‘get’ the show just fine and dandy. Well, I take that back, Democrats don’t get it.

It’s the idiots who produce the American ‘car’ shows who are the scourge behind this rampant, all-enveloping stupidity.

Want to see what I’m talking about? Watch a car show, any car show, that’s produced in the USA. Watch NASCAR racing on TV.

See any correlation?

Both of these types of shows cater to….no one. Both types of shows are insults to the viewer’s intelligence….unless you’re a voting Democrat. I can think of a couple of shows on the Speed channel (or whatever it’s called)….but both grow boring rather quickly, as even these couple of shows constantly dip into the ‘Extreme!’ bucket for effect.

The only ‘shows’ on TV, for the car guy, that are worth watching, are Speedtv races….and BBC Top Gear.

The rest?

To borrow from the British….utter rubbish.

I shut my cable off over a year ago because of how bad it’s really gotten with American cable networks. The American Top Gear is yet another sterling example.

Here is the formula for Top Gear USA:

  1. Use the Top Gear logo. According to American TV producers, we’re too stupid to notice that it’s not the UK version of Top Gear
  2. Put two metrosexual males together with some guy that claims to be a race car driver, and hope we don’t notice, that in one of the commercials, two of the guys are wearing the same plaid metrosexual shirts
  3. Suggest that there is ‘chemistry’ between the three presenters….never mind that there clearly isn’t any
  4. Combine elements of the hit TV show ‘Jackass’ (and the dozens of other ‘Extreme!’ knockoffs that have popped up since then) with generic thematic elements of the original BBC show, because, once again, we’re too stupid to think we’d want to watch anything else
  5. Sound as fake as possible by saying  ‘Oh My God!’ and other boisterous exclamations as many times as you can during the span of a 60-second commercial spot, and laugh as much as possible, even though it sounds forced
  6. Simply ignore that some of the appeal with the BBC Top Gear is that a British accent adds something like 30 ‘perceived’ IQ points to the person who is speaking
  7. Ignore the fact that there have been two other major attempts to get Top Gear USA off of the ground, and that it failed miserably both times
  8. Do absolutely nothing to try to make it different from the UK version, even use the bits from the UK show that didn’t work too well
  9. Cover up the fact that American TV producers don’t understand the concept of ‘dry humor’, and how it’s a staple of British comedy (Monty Python, anyone?)

10. Insert butt-rock music as much as possible (something you’d hear from the late 1980’s/early 1990’s), because we do it with every other ‘car guy’ TV show in existence, and they’re too stupid to notice anyway

Well, there you go, that’s pretty much the formula for the new USA Top Gear. Feel free to add your own additions to the ‘formula’ in the comment section down below. And yes, the ‘Youtube’ show project of mine revolves around something of a Top Gear UK-type of show….same basic idea, much-different layout and subject material, however….and it will include viewer participation.

Moving on….

NASCAR Announcements

  1. Well, whaddya know, NASCAR is switching to E85 for the 2011 season. Does anyone except for the Corn lobby give two bleeps that NASCAR is switching to E85 for the 2011 season, and every other season after that? We need to get away from foreign fuel sources? Where is the other 85% of the fuel coming from, if 15% ethanol is coming from America?
  2. I think I saw somewhere where there was going to be a front splitter change for 2011….but I don’t have a source. That’s a nice suggestion, if it’s true, however, what is the France Cartel going to do about the rest of the car?
  3. Isn’t fuel injection coming in mid-2011? This was around 10 years overdue. Now if we could only get powerplants that are sourced from actual production cars or trucks….pushrod vs. overhead cam? Chevy and Dodge went with pushrods for their production V8’s, Ford and Toyota went with DOHC….
  4. I wonder if Ford is actually going to show up with a winning powerplant next year. The all-new FR9 has been a disaster, and I don’t care that Ford somehow won two races this year….out of 35 ran so far….that engine is still a turd, never mind how much time and engineering they’ve wasted upon it. Yes, it’s a great idea, and sure, it sounds like it should work…on paper…but they brought it out before it was ready to compete.

There are other announcements and developments that are out there….or at least I think there are….however, nothing has been done as to what to do about the elephant in the room, namely why viewers are leaving this sport in droves.

I have a thought about that.

This series needs an overhaul. The failed COSHAT (Car of some hideous alternate tomorrow) hasn’t been updated in three years now, other than a spoiler change….wooo, what an upgrade….and it’s done nothing to improve ‘the racing’. Yes, it’s supposedly safer….nobody has been killed in one yet….but it punches such a huge hole in the air that anyone coming up on the leader has air taken off of the nose….and so we have race after race, where whoever gets in front during a pit stop pretty much has the lead for that round of green-flag racing….and people switch off the TV sets.

There’s another suggestion as to why nobody is watching….and it has nothing to do with racing.

I’m struggling with trying to identify the problem, simply because I think I’m suffering from ‘it’ also.

I can’t sit down and watch a race any longer, unless it’s something really significant. I’m having difficulty reading an entire news article. I’m having difficulty sitting down and reading an entire book. It’s so much easier simply reading the title of the article, and if it’s got a good hook, I’ll check it out….otherwise, I’ve already moved on.

This isn’t just affecting how I read.

I can’t stand talking to slow people. If you’re talking like Forrest Gump, and in addition, sound like you are further impaired as if you’re overdosing on valium, I really cannot talk to you. I’ve already moved onto three or four other thoughts or conversation topics by the time you’ve finished saying ‘hello’. I’m not trying to be rude, I’m not trying to be a jerk, I’m simply operating at a speed at which you’re not, and unless I’m really trying to focus….you just lost me.

This is also how I feel when talking to people who vote democrat, but we all know that this particular disease is incurable, so I’ll put them into a ‘cuddly but dumb’ category, knowing that there’s nothing I can do for them and their mental illness….

However, moving on….I think what’s happened, is that our Information Age, along with fast-moving computer games, TV, and whatnot….it’s done something to the male population under 35. Think of it as ‘Acquired A.D.H.D’, where we’d really like to focus on a race….but if it’s not done in 10 laps….sorry, we’re done, and we’ve just checked our Facebook page, scanned through Drudge Report, gone through 3 different email accounts, and have eaten two frozen pizzas in the same space of time it takes a NASCAR announcer to say, “And there’s only 322 laps to go!”.

I’m going to spend more time working on this particular phenomenon….simply because I’m in this particular age bracket, and I’m curious if there isn’t  more to why we can’t watch an entire race….from any motorsport series….

But for now….have a good week. I hope to do this again sometime soon.

If at first you don’t succeed, call it ‘the Car of Tomorrow’.

The scenarios that will turn one of our 3 contenders into a champion at Homestead

When the cars come to life this Sunday, just 15 points will separate series leader Denny Hamlin from the four-time defending champion Jimmie Johnson. Hamlin wins, as he did at Homestead a year ago, and the title is his. Johnson wins, but Hamlin leads the most laps, and the crown still goes to the challenger. Johnson wins and leads the most laps, it goes to him.

[media-credit name=”CIA Stock Photo” align=”alignleft” width=”300″][/media-credit]Of course, that is if it comes down to one of the two winning, something Johnson has never done at Homestead. He was second in 2004, fifth last year, and he has 6 top tens in nine tries. Still, he has never won. Hamlin did just that in 2009, and with 3 top fives in the last four there, he could have the advantage. He also finished 13th in 2008, and seventh is all Johnson would need to take the crown for a fifth consecutive year if that should happen again this Sunday.

So, the Reader’s Digest version has Hamlin winning it all by finishing ahead of Johnson. Jimmie wins it by finishing anywhere from one to nine spots ahead of Denny. It will depend on who leads a lap, who leads the most laps (both which award five bonus points), and if we are talking about position gains equalling five (Top Five), four (Top Ten), or three points, which is the case for those spots outside the Top Ten.

As for Kevin Harvick, he would need to win, lead the most laps, and then he would claim it all if Hamlin is no better than 10th and Johnson 7th. That margin even shrinks if neither of those boys lead the most laps, or none at all. At least there is no way we could end up with a three way tie, right? Right? Well, there is. For example, if Harvick finishes second (170 points), Johnson leads a lap and finishes 10th (139 points), and Hamlin does not and winds up 13th (124 points), we would have, what they would call, a real interesting situation. Well, not really. The tie-breaker would go to the driver with the most wins, and Hamlin’s eight puts him in the driver’s seat, ahead of Johnson’s six and Harvick’s three.

NASCAR took a risk when they went away from recognizing the most dominant car over the course of the season as champion, yet most fans bought into it. The change may have cost Jeff Gordon a couple of titles and Carl Edwards one, but it did extend the drama a few more weeks with even more contenders vying for the crown. Be it with ten, twelve, or even twenty in the Chase, the format works. However, to push this further with “winner take all” or “elimination round” formats would risk crowning a paper champion that has no legitimacy with the fans. You have to remember that sometimes the best driver, car, and team simply kicks the stuffings out of the competition. That is not the case this year.

When the action resumes at Homestead on Sunday, we will have three drivers, each with a legitimate chance to become the 2010 NASCAR Sprint Cup champion. While Kevin Harvick might be forgiven for yearning for the classic system this season, the current format has presented us with a true “game seven” conclusion to the year. NASCAR wanted an exciting finale when they instituted the Chase, and they now have that.

All that they have to do now is decide how many they want to invite to the party next season. If they want Junior in it, they just might have to extend the number of invitations to twenty.