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NOTES FROM THE NASCAR NATION: WILL A CHASE CONTENDER GET “PAPER CLIPPED” THIS SUNDAY?

[media-credit id=100 align=”alignright” width=”230″][/media-credit]The NASCAR Sprint Cup Series will roll out onto the half mile oval at the Martinsville Speedway for Sunday’s running of the Tums Fast Relief 500. This historic racing facility is referred to as the paper clip due to its unusual shape. It’s also a challenge to the drivers with its short, 800 feet, and completely flat straightaways, that leads to concrete clad turns banked at 12 degrees. Adding to the challenge is the six inch high curbing at the bottom of the race track which can easily snag a left front tire.

Now add the patience draining element of 36 full sized NASCAR stock cars running 500 laps on this paper clip and you’ve got the makings of a full afternoon of racing is rubbing. With Martinsville playing such a pivotal role in the NASCAR Sprint Cup Chase for the Championship, the question remains: will a Chase contender get paper clipped this Sunday?

THE LAS VEGAS BREAKDOWN

Since 1964, the Martinsville Speedway has observed the tradition of presenting its race winners with one of the most unique trophies of all: a custom made grandfather clock. To get an accurate idea regarding which driver will take home the time of day this Sunday, we again turn to the number crunching professionals from the Las Vegas based World Sports Exchange, (WSE).

To no real surprise, the WSE has listed drivers Denny Hamlin and Jimmie Johnson at the top of their Martinsville rankings and they’re backing that with 4 to 1 odds. Ranked third in the championship standings, and only 20 points out of first, Denny Hamlin has some very strong numbers at Martinsville that includes four wins, nine top five finishes and 12 top ten finishes along with a very healthy 6.4 average finish ratio, (AFR), in 14 starts. There’s also a personal sense of momentum here. Hamlin’s family home is just a few miles away and he would love to collect another grandfather clock from his home track.

Johnson has 21 starts on the paper clip and will be bringing some driver stats to Sunday’s race that are simply too strong to be ignored. The five time NASCAR champion has six wins, 14 top fives, 18 top tens and a series high 5.8 AFR. Johnson is ranked second in the championship standings just a mere seven points out of first. It’s clearly evident that Johnson and his team are in the championship mode both on and off the track. They are displaying the same confidence and performance levels that led them to their five, consecutive, championships. Make no mistake about it: Jimmie Five Time is looking to become Jimmie Six Pack.

Four time NASCAR champion Jeff Gordon is ranked by the WSE at 7 to 1. That’s a good call that makes this driver a solid wager consideration. Gordon also has strong numbers at Martinsville that includes a series high seven wins, 25 top fives, 31 top tens and a very strong 7.1 AFR.

At 9 to 1 odds you will find Tony Stewart who also is worthy of a wager consideration at Martinsville where he has three wins, nine top fives, 15 top tens and a decent 13.2 AFR. Stewart, by the way, is the defending race champion. He also holds the track qualifying record, 98,083 MPH, set back in October of 2005.

At 10 to 1 is the duo of Brad Keselowski and Kyle Busch. Keselowski is the current points leader but may need to consider the concept of points racing this Sunday. That’s because his Martinsville numbers really aren’t that strong. He only has a pair of top tens at the paper clip along with a 13.4 AFR. His mission on Sunday will likely be do whatever’s necessary to remain the points leader when the race is over.

Meanwhile Kyle Busch could very well play the role of Chase spoiler at Martinsville even though his numbers there doesn’t support the theory. He’s still seeking his first win at the track but does have six top fives and seven top tens. However his Martinsville AFR, at 17.7, is a little on the high side. There’s also the matter of some hard feelings with driver Ryan Newman that emerged during last week’s race at Kansas. It seems that both drivers feels like they owe each other a little payback and Martinsville is a very good place to settle debts.

It’s the WSE’s 11 to 1 ranking that’s going to make NASCAR fans cheer the loudest. After sitting out the last two races to recuperate from dual concussions, Dale Earnhardt Jr is back behind the wheel of his #88 Hendrick Motorsports Chevrolet. NASCAR’s most popular driver is still seeking his first win at Martinsville but does have ten top fives, 14 top tens and a decent 12.6 AFR. He’s also reputed to very good at short track racing and could make an interesting long shot wager.

Turning to the WSE middle tier rankings, the 12 to 1 slot certainly garners a great deal of interest. That’s where you will find drivers Clint Bowyer and Kasey Kahne. In his first year with Michael Waltrip Racing, Clint Bowyer has been having a dream debut season. He’s currently fourth in the standings and, despite being 25 points away, is still regarded as a championship contender. In previous efforts he has one top five, seven top tens and a 14.7 AFR at Martinsville. If Bowyer is going to gain some ground on the three drivers ahead of him in the points, he going to need some help from them, as in the top three experiencing some form of unexpected difficulty during Sunday’s race.

Kasey Kahne is also going to need some help to improve on his status as a Chase title contender. He’s currently fifth in the points and, at 30 points away, his title hopes are also treading a little water. Unfortunately, his Martinsville numbers are not that strong. He has one top five, a pair of top tens along with a rather high 21.7 AFR.

Looking now at the lower tier of the WSE’s rankings, Kevin Harvick is ranked at 15 to 1 and is a previous winner at Martinsville. He also has three top fives, ten top tens and a decent 16.0 AFR at the paper clip.

At 20 to 1 you will find the tandem of Martin Truex Jr and Ryan Newman. Truex has a pair of top fives and a rather high 21.4 at Martinsville. Newman scored his first win at the track this past April and has also accumulated seven top fives, 11 top tens along with a decent 13.7 AFR.

Roush Fenway team mates Matt Kenseth and Carl Edwards are rated at 30 to 1 while the third Roush driver, Greg Biffle, comes in at 40 to 1 this week. Closing the WSE Martinsville rankings, also at 40 to 1, are drivers Joey Logano and Brian Vickers. If you do not see the name of your favorite drivers on the list that means they are ranked under the category of “all others” at 8 to 1 odds.

Now for the disclaimer: NASCAR wants to remind you that these numbers should be viewed for informational and entertainment purposes only. They neither encourage or condone the placing of wagers on their events. However for you fans who are thinking about placing a bet, and some of you probably already have, you’re going to need the help of the professional number crunchers from the WSE because with 43 cars racing on a half mile asphalt/concrete oval that’s shaped like a paper clip, literally anything can happen.

THE RACE BREAKDOWN

Sunday’s Tums Fast Relief 500 is 500 laps/263 miles around the Martinsville Speedway’s 0.526 mile oval.

The race has 45 entries vying for the 43 starting positions. Ten of those entries are on the go or go home list meaning they are not guaranteed an automatic starting berth in the race because they are currently outside of NASCAR’s top 35 in owner’s points. These ten teams will have to rely on qualifying speeds to earn a starting berth in the race.

The Martinsville Speedway has a storied history that began with its official opening back in 1947 as a dirt track. It’s now regarded as one of the oldest, continually operated, race tracks in the nation. The track was paved in 1955. The four corners of the speedway were covered in concrete in 1976. The Martinsville Speedway currently has grandstand seating for 61,000 fans.

While the Martinsville Speedway is widely regarded as one of the most challenging race tracks in the country, so is the speedway’s pit road. The pit road stalls are very narrow measuring 14 feet wide by 28 feet long. Pit road speed is a very slow 30 MPH.

The first NASCAR Sprint Cup Series race was held at Martinsville in September of 1949 and was won by the legendary Red Byron. Since that time there has been 127 NASCAR Sprint Cup events at Martinsville that has sent 47 different winners to victory lane. NASCAR Hall of Fame member Richard Petty tops the Martinsville win list and owns 15 of those beautiful grandfather clocks. Jeff Gordon tops the win list for active drivers with seven wins. Petty Enterprises tops the Martinsville team win list with 19, but Hendrick Motorsports is right behind them with 18 trips to victory lane.

The weather could become a factor this weekend. Saturday’s forecast calls for cloudy skies, 71 degrees, and a 30% chance of showers. The forecast for Sunday, race day, is a much cooler 60 degrees under cloudy skies and a 30% chance of rain. If needed, the Martinsville Speedway has a fleet of four jet dryers that can dry the one half mile oval in approximately 90 minutes.

The Tums Fast Relief 500 will be broadcast live by the ESPN network beginning at 1 pm eastern time. Race replays will be Monday morning, 12 am eastern, on ESPN2 and on Wednesday, October 31st, at 12 pm on SPEED.

Johnson captures the pole for Sunday’s Tums 500 at Martinsville Speedway

[media-credit id=100 align=”alignright” width=”224″][/media-credit]Chase contender Jimmie Johnson sets fast lap in qualifying at Martinsville Speedway for the Sunday’s Tums 500. Johnson turned a lap of 97.598 MPH (19.402 SECS), edging out Brian Vickers who was fastest in practice and therefore was the last car to attempt qualifying.

Johnson waited patiently in the cockpit of his No.48 Lowes Chevrolet until Vickers completed his lap. Johnson said after, “The reason I stayed in the car, have you ever seen how many times a drivers does an interview, then gets knocked off the pole?” “I wasn’t going to do anything until it was over!” He also pointed, however, that he is definitely not superstitious.

Vickers missed the top spot by only .02 secs, still a great effort just a few hours after announcing that he would be back in the No.55 Micheal Waltrip Toyota for nine races again next season with Aarons as the sponsor for three of those races and Vickers noted they are looking for a partner for the other six.

Points leader Brad Keselowski, who holds a seven point lead over Johnson, will start 32nd Sunday at a track that he started seventh and finished ninth at in the spring. He will have a rather large hole to dig out of to maintain his lead on the championship standings.

“Certainly would like to qualify better and that’s at the forefront of my mind but I’d much rather race towards the front rather than qualify towards the front if I had to pick between the two. I feel like we’ll be capable of pulling that off once the race gets started.” Keselowski said.

“When the playoffs hit, it doesn’t matter what sport it is, crazy things happen. And with that being said, yeah, we come here thinking that we should be able to get some points on the 2 (Brad Keselowski), but you never know.” Johnson said.

There were four other Chase contenders in the top ten. Denny Hamlin, Matt Kenseth, Tony Stewart, and Clint Bowyer placed fifth through eighth respectively.

Dale Earnhardt Jr returned to action this week and will take the green in 20th spot after being second fastest in practice. A team member noted the race setup is better than the qualifying setup and that they will race well on Sunday.

Starting Lineup
Tums Fast Relief 500, Martinsville Speedway
http://www.speedwaymedia.com/Cup/qual.php?race=33
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Pos. No. Driver Make Speed Time
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1 48 Jimmie Johnson Chevrolet 97.598 19.402
2 55 Brian Vickers Toyota 97.533 19.415
3 18 Kyle Busch Toyota 97.427 19.436
4 31 Jeff Burton Chevrolet 97.392 19.443
5 11 Denny Hamlin Toyota 97.382 19.445
6 17 Matt Kenseth Ford 97.272 19.467
7 14 Tony Stewart Chevrolet 97.257 19.47
8 15 Clint Bowyer Toyota 97.247 19.472
9 27 Paul Menard Chevrolet 97.158 19.49
10 43 Aric Almirola Ford 97.108 19.5
11 24 Jeff Gordon Chevrolet 96.968 19.528
12 56 Martin Truex Jr. Toyota 96.964 19.529
13 29 Kevin Harvick Chevrolet 96.959 19.53
14 20 Joey Logano Toyota 96.904 19.541
15 5 Kasey Kahne Chevrolet 96.869 19.548
16 34 David Ragan Ford 96.84 19.554
17 47 Bobby Labonte Toyota 96.835 19.555
18 39 Ryan Newman Chevrolet 96.835 19.555
19 78 Kurt Busch Chevrolet 96.751 19.572
20 88 Dale Earnhardt Jr. Chevrolet 96.716 19.579
21 98 Michael McDowell Ford 96.706 19.581
22 13 Casey Mears Ford 96.681 19.586
23 99 Carl Edwards Ford 96.652 19.592
24 1 Jamie McMurray Chevrolet 96.578 19.607
25 42 Juan Montoya Chevrolet 96.533 19.616
26 51 AJ Allmendinger Chevrolet 96.391 19.645
27 22 Sam Hornish Jr. Dodge 96.273 19.669
28 32 Ken Schrader Ford 96.156 19.693
29 10 David Reutimann Chevrolet 96.141 19.696
30 16 Greg Biffle Ford 96.112 19.702
31 26 Josh Wise* Ford 96.063 19.712
32 2 Brad Keselowski Dodge 96.015 19.722
33 9 Marcos Ambrose Ford 95.985 19.728
34 83 Landon Cassill Toyota 95.976 19.73
35 23 Scott Riggs Chevrolet 95.922 19.741
36 38 David Gilliland Ford 95.922 19.741
37 36 Dave Blaney Chevrolet 95.811 19.764
38 87 Joe Nemechek Toyota 95.675 19.792
39 191 Reed Sorenson Toyota 95.574 19.813
40 30 David Stremme Toyota 95.545 19.819
41 93 Travis Kvapil Toyota 95.54 19.82
42 33 Stephen Leicht* Chevrolet 95.204 19.89
43 195 Scott Speed Ford 94.898 19.954